America’s real estate recovery is being bolstered by an
unexpected and reluctant ally – Chinese investors, who are gobbling up both
commercial and residential properties.
The Asian country with over a billion people have a booming economy
that’s led to unprecedented financial expansion, and now they’re putting their
dollars into the land of the red, white, and blue. Chinese investors are buying both commercial
properties and residential properties, for the returns they hope to capture but
also as second homes.
Chinese developers pushed hard on big commercial projects in
2013, completing over $3 billion in commercial transactions, up from $335.3
million in 2012. They’re interest is not
arbitrary – they’re investments almost unilaterally focus on a certain class of
real estate and in certain markets.
Dynamic signature commercial projects in the $10-$25 million range and
luxury homes, typically in the $500,000 to $2 million range, fit their real
estate modus operandi. They’re
purchasing in six large metropolitan areas, especially Manhattan and
prestigious area codes like Beverly Hills in Los Angeles, perhaps enchanted by
the sizzle of Americana they see in the movies and popular culture.
Development group China Vanke and Tishman Speyer signed a
deal for a $620 million 655-unit condo project South of Market in San Francisco
last winter. Across the bay in Oakland,
China’s Signature Development Group closed a commercial deal for $1.5 billion
recently. Last summer, Zhang Xin, CEO of
Soho China, bought a stake in the General Motors building in midtown Manhattan
and the Dalian Wanda Group is breaking ground on a luxury hotel not far
away. China Vanke, one of the most
active firms, also broke ground on a luxury condo project in Manhattan. The
Greenland Holding Company is another aggressive player, buying a 70% stake in
the $5 billion Atlantic Yards redevelopment effort in Brooklyn, New York and
launching the Metropolis Project in Los Angeles, a mixed-use,
275,450-square-foot complex of hotels, apartments, retail, and luxury
condos. Not long after, Greenfield added
a $1 billion residential and entertainment project in downtown Los Angeles.
By the looks of it, the Chinese are just getting started, as
analysts predict the Chinese will spend up to $178 billion on U.S. real estate
in the next couple years, a titanic amount that will definitely contribute to
our real estate economy. An interesting
facet of their purchase trends is that the Chinese are not focused on low-end
houses, bulk purchases, or distressed markets, a signature of most U.S.
investors who look to profit from low prices, the wave of foreclosures, and
troubled areas. They’re also not
interested in cheap strip malls and other low-end commercial projects. That provides a perfect complement of
interests to help our real estate market find its true balance.
So why are U.S. markets so attractive to the Chinese? Of course it has to do with prices, as they
see the U.S. as a bargain after the worst housing bust since the Great
Depression, but Chinese builders also love the stability and predictability of
established markets on the upswing in the U.S.
But the trend has a lot to do with China’s internal economics, too. Their government recently loosened their
rules on direct overseas investments, coupled with tighter regulations on their
own housing market, designed to prevent a bubble burst like we saw in the
U.S. It’s not just the U.S. that’s a hot
target; Chinese investors are buying in Canada, Australia, and closed on some
huge commercial projects in England.
Of course, this is nothing new – in the 1980’s, based on
foreign booms and a U.S. recession, Japan was the opportunistic buyer. Now, it’s China’s turn, and indeed they’re
taking advantage in regions and markets they see as quality, especially California
and metro New York. In fact, in
California, China is the third largest foreign buyer of real estate, followed
only by Mexico and Filipinos. Overall,
the Chinese account for 9% of all foreign U.S. homebuyers, second to
Canadians. The Chinese now buy more
residential real estate than people from India, Mexico, or England. The real estate website Tulia reported that
from April 2012 t o March 2013, foreigners accounted for almost 5% of all
searches for U.S. properties on its site.
Still, investors from Canada, England, and Germany make up the largest
searchers on the site, 34%, but that number has dwindled down from 38% only a
year ago. Even wealthy businessmen from
lower or middle income countries are getting in on the real estate sale, as
we’ve seen a big increase from other Asian and African countries like India,
Nigeria, Russia, and the Philippines, as well as Argentina, Brazil, and the
Dominican Republic.
For the large part, Chinese investors have been welcomed
with open arms, often in partnership with U.S. development groups, politicians,
and community leaders. Eric Garcetti,
Mayor of Los Angeles, recently stated in an email that, “This billion-dollar
investment not only will bolster downtown Los Angeles’s economy, creating
hundreds of jobs and generating ongoing tax revenue, but it will bring the kind
of world-class amenities that will enhance the appeal of our city center
nationally and internationally.” There
are some cultural barriers of course, and Chinese inventors have expressed
shock at the litigious business climate in the U.S.
“Everybody is afraid of getting sued,” said an anonymous
source at Greenland, “In China we may step on somebody else’s feet, but so
what? Sometimes somebody else will step on mine. It’s all good. I won’t sue them.”
Buying U.S. real estate is so popular among Chinese
nationals that it’s whipped up into an infomercial-like frenzy among buyers
looking to put their Yuan on a sure bet, creating all too many similarities to
our own pre-recession climate. There are
even regular workshops, seminars, and buying tours, like the one held in Hawaii
last October for wealthy Chinese. Some
of them are even named “How to buy your American dream home.”
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