Who will be the next U.S. President? Will Donald Trump lead
us to a new era of restored prosperity? Will Jeb Bush take over the reigns that
his father and brother held before? Or will Hillary continue the Clinton
dynasty, or upstart Bernie Sanders shock the nation with a fresh start like
Barack Obama did in 2008?
While you may think that we need to wait until the early
morning hours after November 8, 2016 to find out who will be the 44th
Commander in Chief of these United States, there are ways to predict who will
be victorious.
In fact, our methods of predicting who will be the next U.S.
President, and whether the Republicans or Democrats will seize power, has
nothing to do with New Hampshire or Iowa, Quinnipiac polls or economic
indicators. We’ll rely on 15 other weird, funny, and downright bizarre, but
shockingly accurate, predictors of Presidential races:
1. Popular Halloween
masks.
According to CNN Money, Halloween mask sales are a rock
solid predictor of who will be elected the next U.S. president. In fact,
whichever candidate sells more masks or costumes with their likeness has also
won the presidential election going back to 1980.
Accuracy: 100%
Prediction: Donald Trump masks will be more prevalent than
Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders masks, so the Republicans win.
2. Which candidate has
better hair.
Since television became popular,
starting with Kennedy beating out Nixon, the candidate with the better hair is
almost entirely ensured to win the presidential election. In fact, Obama and
his close-cropped haircut beat out a balding John McCain in our last election.
Accuracy: 100%
Prediction: It depends who runs!
3. The kid vote.
To educate and familiarize our children with Presidential
elections, many elementary schools set up their own voting booths and conduct
mock elections. Teachers collect and tally the results, announcing them to the
children as a fun part of the learning process. But those results are also
turned over to Scholastic News, who has published them in advance of the real
Presidential election. Incredibly, the kids have polled for the correct
president in 15 out of the last 17 elections. The only exceptions were in 1960
when our nation’s children chose Nixon over Kennedy, and in 1948 when they
voted Thomas E. Dewey over Harry S. Truman.
Accuracy: 88%
Prediction: We’ll have to check the Scholastic News results
early next year!
4. How the Los Angeles
Lakers fare.
Nine times in history the Lakers were in the NBA
championship series in the same year as a presidential election. They’re record
in those finals is 5-4, but that’s not the predicting factor. The first eight
times the Lakers were in the finals, Republicans won the presidency later that
year, with a perfect 8-0 record.
Accuracy: 100%
Prediction: Since the Lakers have a broken-down, old Kobe
and a bunch of rookies, it looks like the Democrats are a lock.
5. Oscar-winning movies.
This is an amazing predictor. During
election years, take a look at which film won the Academy Award for Best
Picture the year before. If the movie has a bummer, sad, or negative ending,
the incumbent party will win the election. But if the movie has an upbeat or
storybook happy ending, a new party will be in the White House.
Accuracy: 90%+
1975 Best Picture winner One Flew Over the
Cuckoo's Nest.
Bummer ending, so the incumbent party lost the presidential
election the next year.
1979 Kramer vs. Kramer
Bummer ending, so the incumbent Democrats lost the
Republicans won the presidential election the next year.
1983 Terms of Endearment
Family heals and comes together, the incumbent party wins.
1987 The Last Emperor
This is the only year that didn’t really
work, since the communist system was restored at the end of the movie, but the
incumbent lost.
1991 The Silence of the Lambs
Hannibal got away, so Incumbent loses.
1995 Braveheart
William Wallace may have met his demise but Scotland won her
freedom. The incumbent party won.
1999 American Beauty
The main character is murdered and things go from weird to
catastrophic, which means the incumbent party lost.
2003 The Lord of the Rings
Our heroes are victorious and evil is defeated, which means
the incumbent party wins.
2007 No Country For Old Men
The bad guy gets away with murder, and the incumbent party
loses.
2011 The Artist
Happy ending, the incumbent won.
Prediction:
2015 Birdman
This film had a light, positive ending to a dark film so means the Democrats will win as the incumbent party!
6. The thickness of
women’s eyebrows:
According to “Women’s Wear Daily,” in years that Republicans
win, you’ll typically see thinner eyebrows and more red lipstick among ladies.
However, in years a Democrat wins the presidential election, you’ll see bigger
eyebrows and softer shades of lipstick.
Accuracy: Questionable at best
Prediction: Republican
7. Pick whomever Sylvia Browne
doesn’t.
Do you remember The Montel Williams show? He had a psychic
named Sylvia Browne who appeared on there from time to time. Every four years
she would announce the winner of the presidential election months ahead of
time, as reported to her by the spirits. The only problem was that Browne
hasn’t been right yet.
Accuracy: 0% (or 100% if you pick against her)
Prediction: The Montell Williams show is no longer on the
air, but years ago, Sylvia “The Psychic Who’s Always Wrong” Browne made a bold
prediction that Hillary Clinton would never run. Hmmm…
***
Read part 2 of this blog where we cover the next eight Presidential race predictors, including the Redskins Rule, candidate height,
and First Lady cookie recipes.
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