Have you thought about selling
your home but you’re not sure if it’s the right time? Well right now we’re in
the midst of the perfect storm of economic and market factors in Sacramento
that make this one of the absolute best times to sell.
From red-hot demand to a severe shortage of inventory, and rapid price appreciation over the last couple years, homes that are listed now are usually selling quickly, for top dollar, and with multiple offers.
From red-hot demand to a severe shortage of inventory, and rapid price appreciation over the last couple years, homes that are listed now are usually selling quickly, for top dollar, and with multiple offers.
So if you’re on the fence about
whether to sell now, or have considered moving up to a bigger, nicer house,
here are three things you’ll want to consider:
Demand is way up
There is no doubt that Sacramento
has a shortage of affordable and middle-of-the-market housing, and that
shortage is manifested with a fervent demand by homebuyers. Interest rates are
still favorable, job and income numbers are strong, and the region is still
growing steadily – all reasons why people are looking to buy homes.
With new construction lagging far
behind what you might find in comparable metropolitan cities around the country
and low housing inventory (we’ll cover this next), there are only so many
options or houses for sale to choose from.
Further fueling demand is the fact
that rents are rising in the region. More renters than ever are paying at least
30% of their income towards housing expenses, and in 2015, we saw the first
year that home ownership was only half as expensive as renting, as renters paid
an average of 29.9% of their monthly income toward rent compared to an average
of 15.3% for homeowners.
Older Millenials – 80 million
strong - are starting to enter the housing market en masse, and Sacramento is
no exception. Millennials now make up about a third of the home buying market
and roughly about 30 percent of the population in the region.
Add it all up and 2016 will be
even more expensive for Sacramento renters, creating a surge of demand for home
buying and further stimulating the housing market. Good evidence of this is the
fact that it took 12 less days for homes to sell this February compared to last
February.
Housing inventory is really low
Sacramento is in the midst of one
of the most profound housing shortages we’ve seen. We’ve seen a short supply of
homes for sale before, but the market was padded by hundreds (and even
thousands!) of short sales, foreclosures, and other distressed properties for
sale that constituted almost the entire low end of the market. But now, with
the banks working through most of their distressed housing inventory. In fact,
in January 2016, conventional sales were up 11.6% compared to only one year
earlier (meaning that distressed property sales were a smaller share of the
housing inventory.)
But at the same time, overall
inventory numbers have shrunk. The inventory in January 2016 was a jaw-dropping
27% less than in January of 2015, which was incredibly low to start with.
Inventory further declined in February 2016!
While we might expect a seasonal
uptick in homes listed for sale in the spring and summer months, as we can
predict every year, the number of homes for sale are still astoundingly low in
the Sacramento area.
Home values have increased
Demand is high, supply is low, and
that can only lead to one thing: rising home prices. But the good news is that
this housing recovery isn’t driven just by an imbalance of supply and demand,
but a strong housing recovery fueled by an economic strength in a growing
region, including downtown redevelopment and organic job growth.
In fact, the median home price in
Sacramento rose by 11.2% over the past year and there’s not a lot of evidence
that will stop any time soon. The median price of homes as of February 2016 is
up 6.7% compared to the same month a year earlier, and the average price per
square foot is also up 6% year-over-year. Sacramento was named one of the 10
hottest real estate markets in the country to watch in 2016, and the confidence
seems justified, as the median home price in the Sacramento region went up by
2.5% just between January and February!
What about Placer and El Dorado Counties?
These general trends seem to
extend into Placer Country, El Dorado County, and most of the greater
Sacramento area. In fact, housing inventory is 17% lower than it was last year
at the same time. The median price of homes in Placer went up by 2.5% over the
last month, as well, and year-to-year values are up 11% from February 2015.
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